AI Generated Insights
This analysis is powered by Capgemini's Outcome IQ AI Insights and provides real-time analysis and ‘what-if’ insights for the matches being played throughout the 2025 Ryder Cup. All information presented here is generated by AI which is continuously learning, so the accuracy and wording of the insights improve over time.
Sunday Singles
Sep 28, 2025, 02:24 PM | Round 5 - Match 5 | Patrick Cantlay, & Ludvig Åberg, | Hole 8
From the left green, the USA holds an 88.58% hole win chance after Patrick Cantlay's drive, compared to Ludvig Åberg's 0.62%. The probability of a tie sits at 10.8%, with both players ready to attack the 8th hole at Bethpage Black.
Saturday Afternoon Four-balls
Sep 27, 2025, 04:45 PM | Round 4 - Match 1 | Justin Thomas, Cameron Young & Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry | Hole 15
This Saturday afternoon's Fourball match shows the USA with a 13.5% winning probability against Europe's 65.0%, with a 21.5% chance of sharing the spoils.
Sep 27, 2025, 04:32 PM | Round 4 - Match 2 | Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau & Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose | Hole 13
6 holes to play with Europe 2 Up at 81.79% to win the match. Win this hole and Europe climbs to 94.06% (+12%). Lose it and they drop to 60.33% (-21%). A 34-point probability swing riding on this hole.
Sep 27, 2025, 03:44 PM | Round 4 - Match 4 | Sam Burns, Patrick Cantlay & Tyrrell Hatton, Matt Fitzpatrick | Hole 9
With Europe leading 8.5-3.5, Saturday Afternoon Fourball action at Bethpage Black shows USA with 3.7% Cup probability against Europe's 93.5% with 17 matches remaining.
Sep 27, 2025, 03:12 PM | Round 4 - Match 2 | Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau & Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose | Hole 9
With Fourball matches underway in Saturday Afternoon Fourball, OutcomeIQ calculates USA at 6.5% to capture the Cup against Europe's 89.3% probability to win outright with 4.2% tie scenario.
Sep 27, 2025, 03:02 PM | Round 4 - Match 2 | Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau & Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose | Hole 9
On the 9th hole, Tommy Fleetwood strikes to 4 feet 11 inches for birdie. Europe creates multiple scoring chances with hole probabilities at USA 4.7%, Europe 51.5% in fourball format.
Saturday Morning Foursomes
Sep 27, 2025, 08:57 AM | Round 3 - Match 4 | Russell Henley, Scottie Scheffler & Robert MacIntyre, Viktor Hovland | Hole 5
Hole 5 sees 179 yards to 11 feet as Viktor Hovland inherits putting duties for birdie. Foursomes format shows Europe at 2 strokes leading by 1 on the 5th at Bethpage Black.
Sep 27, 2025, 08:54 AM | Round 3 - Match 3 | Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 6
Patrick Cantlay drains the 11-footer for birdie, putting immense pressure on Europe. The match remains Europe 1 Up as the Patrick Cantlay/Xander Schauffele partnership builds momentum heading to hole 7.
Sep 27, 2025, 08:11 AM | Round 3 - Match 2 | Harris English, Collin Morikawa & Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood | Hole 4
Tommy Fleetwood hits 38 yards from the Primary Rough, leaving Rory McIlroy 1.2 yards on hole 4. The recovery escapes trouble, with hole probabilities at USA 3.6% and Europe 44.0%, as both teams sit at 3 and 2 strokes respectively.
Sep 27, 2025, 07:51 AM | Round 3 - Match 2 | Harris English, Collin Morikawa & Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood | Hole 1
Harris English drains the crucial 14-footer for birdie, securing the hole with a 3 to their 4. The match remains All Square as the Harris English/Collin Morikawa partnership delivers under foursomes pressure heading to hole 2.
Sep 27, 2025, 07:36 AM | Round 3 - Match 1 | Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Young & Matt Fitzpatrick, Ludvig Åberg | Hole 3
Match probabilities favor Europe at 48.9% over USA's 37.9% in this foursomes battle. The score reads All Square through 2 holes at Bethpage Black's challenging layout.
Sep 27, 2025, 07:34 AM | Round 3 - Match 1 | Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Young & Matt Fitzpatrick, Ludvig Åberg | Hole 2
Bryson DeChambeau converts the 6-footer, halving the hole with matching 4s. The match remains Europe 1 Up as the Bryson DeChambeau/Cameron Young partnership shows resilience heading to hole 3.
Friday Afternoon Four-balls
Sep 26, 2025, 02:39 PM | Round 2 - Match 1 | Scottie Scheffler, J.J. Spaun & Jon Rahm, Sepp Straka | Hole 8
Both European players are putting for birdie—Jon Rahm from 17 feet burns the edge, while Sepp Straka still has feet remaining. The fourball format means Europe still has a chance, with the match at Europe 1 Up heading to the 9th tee.
Sep 26, 2025, 02:19 PM | Round 2 - Match 2 | Ben Griffin, Bryson Dechambeau & Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose | Hole 6
Both USA players putt for birdie—Bryson DeChambeau from 5 feet burns the edge, while Ben Griffin still has 6 feet remaining. The fourball format means the USA still has life in the match, leading 1 Up heading to the 7th tee.
2025-09-26 13:10 | Round 2 - Match 1 | Scottie Scheffler, J.J. Spaun & Jon Rahm, Sepp Straka | Hole 3
Jon Rahm misses a 16-foot putt on stroke 2, leaving his partner Sepp Straka under pressure. The match remains All Square as Europe faces Scottie Scheffler and J.J. Spaun with 16 holes remaining.
Friday Morning Foursomes
2025-09-26 10:50 | Round 1 - Match 4 | Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay & Robert MacIntyre, Viktor Hovland | Hole 13
Viktor Hovland misses the 10-footer, halving the hole. The match remains USA 1 Up as the Viktor Hovland/Robert MacIntyre partnership regroups heading to the next hole.
2025-09-26 9:44 | Round 1 - Match 1 | Bryson Dechambeau, Justin Thomas & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 12
Bryson DeChambeau misses the 2-footer, conceding to their 2. The match remains Europe 1 Up as the Bryson DeChambeau/Justin Thomas partnership regroups heading to the next hole.
2025-09-26 9:19 | Round 1 - Match 1 | Bryson Dechambeau, Justin Thomas & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 10
Justin Thomas misses the 44-footer, conceding to their 4. The match remains Europe 1 Up as the Justin Thomas/Bryson DeChambeau partnership regroups heading to the next hole.
2025-09-26 8:53 | Round 1 - Match 1 | Bryson Dechambeau, Justin Thomas & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 8
Jon Rahm misses the 12-footer, conceding to their opponents' 2. The match remains Europe 1 Up as the Jon Rahm/Tyrrell Hatton partnership regroups heading to the next hole.
2025-09-26 8:39 | Round 1 - Match 1 | Bryson Dechambeau, Justin Thomas & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 7
Tyrrell Hatton hits 171 yards from the primary rough, leaving Jon Rahm with 11 yards to the hole on hole 7. The recovery advances their position, with hole probabilities at USA 4.5% and Europe 55.9%, as both teams sit 2 strokes apart.
2025-09-26 8:32 | Round 1 - Match 4 | Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay & Robert MacIntyre, Viktor Hovland | Hole 3
Xander Schauffele misses the 3-footer, halving the hole. The match remains All Square as the Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay partnership regroups heading to the next hole.
2025-09-26 8:31 | Round 1 - Match 1 | Bryson Dechambeau, Justin Thomas & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 7
Match probabilities favor the USA at 69.9% compared to Europe's 18.1% in this foursomes battle. The score reads USA 1 Up through 6 holes at Bethpage Black's challenging layout.
2025-09-26 8:11 | Round 1 - Match 2 | Scottie Scheffler, Russell Henley & Ludvig Åberg, Matt Fitzpatrick | Hole 4
Russell Henley misses the 8-footer, conceding to their opponents' 3. The match remains All Square as the Russell Henley/Scottie Scheffler partnership regroups heading to the next hole.
2025-09-26 7:51 | Round 1 - Match 3 | Collin Morikawa, Harris English & Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood | Hole 1
Tommy Fleetwood hits 41 yards from the primary rough, leaving Rory McIlroy 1.3 yards on hole 1. The recovery avoids trouble, with hole probabilities at USA 0.8% and Europe 76.5%, as both teams sit at a score of 2 strokes.
2025-09-26 7:22 | Round 1 - Match 1 | Bryson Dechambeau, Justin Thomas & Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton | Hole 1
Bryson DeChambeau's putt from 5.2 yards comes at a crucial juncture. The USA sits at 63.04% to win this Foursome match. The 4-par 1st hole could prove decisive with 17 holes remaining.